{"id":402006,"date":"2026-07-04T00:05:41","date_gmt":"2026-07-04T03:05:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.notibras.com\/site\/?p=402006"},"modified":"2026-07-04T09:13:51","modified_gmt":"2026-07-04T12:13:51","slug":"projecao-de-superavit-comercial-e-elevada-para-us-90-bi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.notibras.com\/site\/projecao-de-superavit-comercial-e-elevada-para-us-90-bi\/","title":{"rendered":"Proje\u00e7\u00e3o de super\u00e1vit comercial \u00e9 elevada para US$ 90 bi"},"content":{"rendered":"

O Minist\u00e9rio do Desenvolvimento, Ind\u00fastria, Com\u00e9rcio e Servi\u00e7os (Mdic) elevou de US$ 72,1 bilh\u00f5es para US$ 90 bilh\u00f5es a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de super\u00e1vit da balan\u00e7a comercial brasileira em 2026.<\/p>\n

Se confirmada, a marca ser\u00e1 a segunda maior da s\u00e9rie hist\u00f3rica, atr\u00e1s apenas do resultado registrado em 2023, e representar\u00e1 alta de 32,3% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao saldo de US$ 68,1 bilh\u00f5es obtido em 2025.<\/p>\n

A revis\u00e3o foi anunciada nesta sexta-feira (3), ap\u00f3s o governo identificar um desempenho acima do esperado nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es e nas importa\u00e7\u00f5es ao longo do primeiro semestre. As exporta\u00e7\u00f5es subiram 11,5% nos seis primeiros meses do ano, apesar da guerra no Oriente M\u00e9dio e da imposi\u00e7\u00e3o de tarifas pelo governo de Donald Trump.<\/p>\n

Proje\u00e7\u00e3o revisada<\/strong>
\nAl\u00e9m da estimativa para o super\u00e1vit comercial, o MDIC tamb\u00e9m revisou as proje\u00e7\u00f5es para o fluxo de com\u00e9rcio em 2026.<\/p>\n

A expectativa \u00e9 que o Brasil exporte US$ 394,4 bilh\u00f5es neste ano, US$ 30,2 bilh\u00f5es acima da previs\u00e3o divulgada em abril. Para as importa\u00e7\u00f5es, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o passou de US$ 292,1 bilh\u00f5es para US$ 304,4 bilh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Segundo o diretor de Estat\u00edsticas e Estudos de Com\u00e9rcio Exterior do minist\u00e9rio, Herlon Brand\u00e3o, a revis\u00e3o reflete a acelera\u00e7\u00e3o do com\u00e9rcio exterior brasileiro.<\/p>\n

“Observamos uma acelera\u00e7\u00e3o dos fluxos, tanto de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o quanto de importa\u00e7\u00e3o, que ajudaram a elevar esse valor previsto”, afirmou.<\/p>\n

Junho recorde<\/strong>
\nOs novos n\u00fameros foram divulgados junto com o resultado da balan\u00e7a comercial de junho.<\/p>\n

No m\u00eas, o Brasil registrou super\u00e1vit de US$ 9,8 bilh\u00f5es, resultado impulsionado por exporta\u00e7\u00f5es recordes de US$ 36,3 bilh\u00f5es, alta de 24,9% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a junho de 2025. As importa\u00e7\u00f5es somaram US$ 26,5 bilh\u00f5es, crescimento de 14,4%.<\/p>\n

O desempenho foi favorecido principalmente pela ind\u00fastria extrativa, cujas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es cresceram 58,4%.<\/p>\n

Petr\u00f3leo impulsiona<\/strong>
\nO petr\u00f3leo bruto foi o principal respons\u00e1vel pela expans\u00e3o das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Segundo o Mdic, o valor exportado aumentou com a combina\u00e7\u00e3o de pre\u00e7os internacionais mais elevados e crescimento do volume embarcado. Na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com junho do ano passado, o pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo subiu 67,6%, enquanto o volume exportado avan\u00e7ou 6,8%.<\/p>\n

Tamb\u00e9m contribu\u00edram para o resultado o crescimento das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de soja na agropecu\u00e1ria e o aumento das vendas de carnes, combust\u00edveis e farelo de soja pela ind\u00fastria de transforma\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Saldo do semestre<\/strong>
\nEntre janeiro e junho, a balan\u00e7a comercial brasileira acumulou super\u00e1vit de US$ 42,4 bilh\u00f5es, acima dos US$ 30,2 bilh\u00f5es registrados no mesmo per\u00edodo de 2025.<\/p>\n

No semestre, as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es somaram US$ 184,8 bilh\u00f5es, enquanto as importa\u00e7\u00f5es alcan\u00e7aram US$ 142,4 bilh\u00f5es, refor\u00e7ando a expectativa do governo de um desempenho recorde do com\u00e9rcio exterior em 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O Minist\u00e9rio do Desenvolvimento, Ind\u00fastria, Com\u00e9rcio e Servi\u00e7os (Mdic) elevou de US$ 72,1 bilh\u00f5es para US$ 90 bilh\u00f5es a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de super\u00e1vit da balan\u00e7a comercial brasileira em 2026. Se confirmada, a marca ser\u00e1 a segunda maior da s\u00e9rie hist\u00f3rica, atr\u00e1s apenas do resultado registrado em 2023, e representar\u00e1 alta de 32,3% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao saldo […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":402007,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"tmauthors":[307],"class_list":["post-402006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-brasil"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nProje\u00e7\u00e3o de super\u00e1vit comercial \u00e9 elevada para US$ 90 bi - Notibras<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.notibras.com\/site\/projecao-de-superavit-comercial-e-elevada-para-us-90-bi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Proje\u00e7\u00e3o de super\u00e1vit comercial \u00e9 elevada para US$ 90 bi - Notibras\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"O Minist\u00e9rio do Desenvolvimento, Ind\u00fastria, Com\u00e9rcio e Servi\u00e7os (Mdic) elevou de US$ 72,1 bilh\u00f5es para US$ 90 bilh\u00f5es a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de super\u00e1vit da balan\u00e7a comercial brasileira em 2026. 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