{"id":54451,"date":"2015-06-22T09:13:54","date_gmt":"2015-06-22T12:13:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.notibras.com\/site\/?p=54451"},"modified":"2015-06-22T09:15:16","modified_gmt":"2015-06-22T12:15:16","slug":"inflacao-ja-bate-em-9-e-pib-deve-ficar-negativo-em-145-diz-bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.notibras.com\/site\/inflacao-ja-bate-em-9-e-pib-deve-ficar-negativo-em-145-diz-bc\/","title":{"rendered":"Infla\u00e7\u00e3o j\u00e1 bate em 9% e PIB deve ficar negativo em 1,45%, afirma Focus"},"content":{"rendered":"

Institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras consultadas pelo Banco Central (BC) esperam por infla\u00e7\u00e3o e juros b\u00e1sicos mais altos e maior queda na economia, este ano. De acordo com a pesquisa semanal do do Boletim Focus, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de analistas do mercado financeiro para a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, medida pela \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), subiu pela d\u00e9cima semana seguida.<\/p>\n

Desta vez, a estimativa passou de 8,79% para 8,97%. Para 2016, a estimativa segue em 5,50%, h\u00e1 cinco semanas. A infla\u00e7\u00e3o este ano deve estourar o teto da meta, que \u00e9 6,5%. O centro da meta \u00e9 4,5%.<\/p>\n

Para tentar frear a alta dos pre\u00e7os, o Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) do BC tem elevado a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, a Selic. No \u00faltimo dia 3, o Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) do BC elevou a Selic, pela sexta vez seguida, para 13,75% ao ano.<\/p>\n

Com o reajuste, a Selic retornou ao n\u00edvel de janeiro de 2009. Para as institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras, a Selic vai chegar ao final de 2015 em 14,25% ao ano. A proje\u00e7\u00e3o da semana passada era 14% ao ano. No final de 2016, a Selic deve ficar em 12% ao ano..<\/p>\n

A taxa \u00e9 usada nas negocia\u00e7\u00f5es de t\u00edtulos p\u00fablicos no Sistema Especial de Liquida\u00e7\u00e3o e Cust\u00f3dia (Selic) e serve como refer\u00eancia para as demais taxas de juros da economia. Ao reajust\u00e1-la para cima, o BC cont\u00e9m o excesso de demanda que pressiona os pre\u00e7os, porque os juros mais altos encarecem o cr\u00e9dito e estimulam a poupan\u00e7a. Quando reduz os juros b\u00e1sicos, o Copom barateia o cr\u00e9dito e incentiva a produ\u00e7\u00e3o e o consumo, mas alivia o controle sobre a infla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Embora ajude no controle dos pre\u00e7os, o aumento da taxa Selic prejudica a economia, que atravessa um ano de recess\u00e3o, com queda na produ\u00e7\u00e3o e no consumo.<\/p>\n

A expectativa das institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras para a retra\u00e7\u00e3o da economia, este ano, passou de 1,35% para 1,45%. Essa \u00e9 a quinta piora seguida na estimativa para o Produto Interno Bruto (PIB), soma de todos os bens e servi\u00e7os produzidos no pa\u00eds. Para o pr\u00f3ximo ano, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de crescimento passou de 0,9% para 0,7%. Na avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado financeiro, a produ\u00e7\u00e3o industrial deve ter uma queda de 3,65%, este ano, e crescimento de 1,5%, em 2016.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

A pesquisa do BC tamb\u00e9m traz a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para a infla\u00e7\u00e3o medida pelo \u00cdndice Geral de Pre\u00e7os \u2013 Disponibilidade Interna (IGP-DI), que subiu de 7,08% para 7,31%, este ano. Para o \u00cdndice Geral de Pre\u00e7os – Mercado (IGP-M), a estimativa passou de 6,94% para 7%, em 2015. A estimativa para o \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor da Funda\u00e7\u00e3o Instituto de Pesquisas Econ\u00f4micas (IPC-Fipe) subiu de 8,39% para 8,45%, este ano.<\/p>\n

A proje\u00e7\u00e3o para a cota\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar segue em R$ 3,20, ao final de 2015, e subiu de R$ 3,30 para R$ 3,40, no fim de 2016.<\/p>\n

Kelly Oliveira, ABr<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras consultadas pelo Banco Central (BC) esperam por infla\u00e7\u00e3o e juros b\u00e1sicos mais altos e maior queda na economia, este ano. De acordo com a pesquisa semanal do do Boletim Focus, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de analistas do mercado financeiro para a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, medida pela \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), subiu pela d\u00e9cima […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":54452,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"tmauthors":[],"class_list":["post-54451","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-brasil"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nInfla\u00e7\u00e3o j\u00e1 bate em 9% e PIB deve ficar negativo em 1,45%, afirma Focus - Notibras<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.notibras.com\/site\/inflacao-ja-bate-em-9-e-pib-deve-ficar-negativo-em-145-diz-bc\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Infla\u00e7\u00e3o j\u00e1 bate em 9% e PIB deve ficar negativo em 1,45%, afirma Focus - Notibras\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras consultadas pelo Banco Central (BC) esperam por infla\u00e7\u00e3o e juros b\u00e1sicos mais altos e maior queda na economia, este ano. 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