{"id":59988,"date":"2015-08-03T09:45:25","date_gmt":"2015-08-03T12:45:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.notibras.com\/site\/?p=59988"},"modified":"2015-08-03T10:43:52","modified_gmt":"2015-08-03T13:43:52","slug":"barco-afunda-antecipando-debacle-no-cenario-da-economia-brasileira","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.notibras.com\/site\/barco-afunda-antecipando-debacle-no-cenario-da-economia-brasileira\/","title":{"rendered":"Barco vai afundando e antecipando d\u00eab\u00e1cle no cen\u00e1rio da economia"},"content":{"rendered":"

Institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras consultadas semanalmente pelo Banco Central (BC) pioraram pela terceira vez seguida as estimativas para a economia este ano. Desta vez, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para a queda do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB), soma de todos os bens e servi\u00e7os produzidos no pa\u00eds, passou de 1,76% para 1,80%. Para 2016, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 leve crescimento de 0,2%, a mesma estimativa da semana passada.<\/p>\n

Na avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado financeiro, a produ\u00e7\u00e3o industrial deve ter queda de 5%, este ano, e crescimento de 1,30%, em 2016.<\/p>\n

As proje\u00e7\u00f5es para a infla\u00e7\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m pioraram. A estimativa do mercado financeiro para o \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA) subiu pela 16\u00aa vez seguida, ao passar de 9,23% para 9,25%, este ano. Em 2016, a expectativa \u00e9 que o \u00edndice fique em 5,40%, a mesma proje\u00e7\u00e3o da semana passada.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

As proje\u00e7\u00f5es para a infla\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e3o acima do centro da meta, 4,5%. E, no caso de 2015, a estimativa supera tamb\u00e9m o teto da meta, 6,5%. O BC tem dito que entregar\u00e1 a infla\u00e7\u00e3o no centro da meta somente em 2016. Para alcan\u00e7ar esse objetivo, o Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) elevou a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, a Selic, por sete vezes consecutivas. Atualmente, a Selic est\u00e1 em 14,25% ao ano.<\/p>\n

A taxa \u00e9 usada nas negocia\u00e7\u00f5es de t\u00edtulos p\u00fablicos no Sistema Especial de Liquida\u00e7\u00e3o e Cust\u00f3dia (Selic) e serve como refer\u00eancia para as demais taxas de juros da economia. Ao reajust\u00e1-la, o BC cont\u00e9m o excesso de demanda que pressiona os pre\u00e7os, porque os juros mais altos encarecem o cr\u00e9dito e estimulam a poupan\u00e7a. Quando reduz os juros b\u00e1sicos, o Copom barateia o cr\u00e9dito e incentiva a produ\u00e7\u00e3o e o consumo, mas alivia o controle sobre a infla\u00e7\u00e3o. Embora ajude no controle dos pre\u00e7os, o aumento da taxa Selic prejudica a economia, que atravessa um ano de recess\u00e3o, com queda na produ\u00e7\u00e3o e no consumo.<\/p>\n

A pesquisa do BC tamb\u00e9m traz a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para a infla\u00e7\u00e3o medida pelo \u00cdndice Geral de Pre\u00e7os \u2013 Disponibilidade Interna (IGP-DI), que passou de 7,69% para 7,67%, este ano. Para o \u00cdndice Geral de Pre\u00e7os – Mercado (IGP-M), a estimativa subiu de 7,52% para 7,64%, em 2015. A estimativa para o \u00cdndice de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor da Funda\u00e7\u00e3o Instituto de Pesquisas Econ\u00f4micas (IPC-Fipe) passou de 8,74% para 8,76%, este ano.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

A proje\u00e7\u00e3o para a cota\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar subiu de R$ 3,25 para R$ 3,35, ao final de 2015, e de R$ 3,40 para R$ 3,49, no fim de 2016.<\/p>\n

Kelly Oliveira, ABr<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras consultadas semanalmente pelo Banco Central (BC) pioraram pela terceira vez seguida as estimativas para a economia este ano. Desta vez, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para a queda do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB), soma de todos os bens e servi\u00e7os produzidos no pa\u00eds, passou de 1,76% para 1,80%. Para 2016, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 leve crescimento de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":59989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"tmauthors":[],"class_list":["post-59988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-brasil"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBarco vai afundando e antecipando d\u00eab\u00e1cle no cen\u00e1rio da economia - Notibras<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.notibras.com\/site\/barco-afunda-antecipando-debacle-no-cenario-da-economia-brasileira\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Barco vai afundando e antecipando d\u00eab\u00e1cle no cen\u00e1rio da economia - Notibras\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras consultadas semanalmente pelo Banco Central (BC) pioraram pela terceira vez seguida as estimativas para a economia este ano. Desta vez, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para a queda do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB), soma de todos os bens e servi\u00e7os produzidos no pa\u00eds, passou de 1,76% para 1,80%. 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